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Intraday ideas for XAU/USD
Information is not investment advice
The fundamental picture for gold is positive: the precious metal is a safe haven asset and tends to strengthen during the periods of market uncertainty. Still, its intraday moves can take different directions. After forming a diamond-like top below 1,700, XAU/USD went consolidating between 1,665 (38.2% Fibo of March 9-10 decline; 100- and 50-hour MAs) and 1,642 (200-hour MA). There are also support levels at 1,656 and 1,650. The breakouts of the mentioned levels will determine the short-term dynamic.
Trade ideas for XAU/USD
SELL 1,655.50; TP1 1,650; TP2 1,642.50; SL 1,657
BUY 1,668; TP1 1,672; TP2 1,680; SL 1,666
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.