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How to trade GBP/USD?
Information is not investment advice
Last week GBP/USD has failed to stay above the 200-week MA (1.3065) for the second time. The pair has made a series of lower highs and is currently testing levels below the key psychological level of 1.30. The next important level on the downside is support at 1.2950 (the line connecting November and December lows). On the D1, the Awesome Oscillator topped and reached the 0 line. The fall below 1.2950 will open the way down to 1.2900. The key support will be located at 1.28 (the line connecting 2019 lows). On the upside, the return above 1.3020 is needed to allow a recovery to 1.3060.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.