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How Can OPEC's Decision Affect the Forex Market?

How Can OPEC's Decision Affect the Forex Market?

Information is not investment advice

Well, well, well, looks like the OPEC Conference had an Extraordinary 183rd Meeting on the 31st of March, and made some changes. They gave the International Energy Agency (IEA) the boot and replaced them with Wood Mackenzie and Rystad Energy as their secondary sources for oil supply and demand data. So, what's the big deal? Well, this move could have some serious ripple effects on the financial markets. Investors and traders will be keeping a close eye on how this change impacts oil prices and how it may affect their portfolios. Time will tell if this move will be a wise one or if it'll backfire. Let's see if this adds up - technically speaking.

USDCAD 

USDCADDaily-0404.png

The Daily timeframe of USDCAD presents us with some of the usual confirmations; Fibonacci retracement levels, MA support, drop-base-rally demand zone, and a few extras. The confluence of the two trendlines aligning as a support is a major indication of bullish intention, but when you combine that with the 200-Day MA as a support, you literally get an 80% valid trade sentiment. I'm personally keeping my eyes peeled on this one.

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.37100

Invalidation: 1.32800

EURCAD 

EURCADDaily-0404.png

EURCAD is currently trading inside a channel and approaching a key resistance from the weekly supply zone. It is important to note how the 50-Day MA fits perfectly with the trendline support and the drop-base-rally demand zone which I apparently didn't notice I'd forgotten to mark until now (but I'm hoping you can see it nonetheless). On this one, I'm voting once again in support of the bulls, with my primary target set at the weekly supply zone as marked.

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.49500

Invalidation: 1.45100

CADJPY 

CADJPYDaily-0404.png

CADJPY is looking bearish from every angle. First, we have the break of the previous marked low, then the Fibonacci retracement level, and supported by the 100-Day MA, which is another major factor to consider. That's not all though. We also have an elusive AMD (Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution) pattern. 

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 95.600

Invalidation: 101.110

NZDCAD 

NZDCADDaily-0404.png

NZDCAD and CADJPY have a few things in common. The sentiment on both pairs, for example, is bearish; then we also have a hidden AMD pattern and a break below the previous low. Considering that price is trading within a channel and has only recently been rejected from the trendline resistance, I believe it is only logical to expect price to swoop down to the trendline support, 200-Day MA, and rally-base-rally demand zone lying just below.

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 0.82645

Invalidation: 0.85628

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

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Legal disclaimer: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment advice or research. The material is provided as general market information and/or market commentary. Nothing in this material is or should be considered to be legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion included in the material constitutes a recommendation by Tradestone Ltd or the author that any particular investment security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither Tradestone Ltd nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein. You should always seek independent advice suitable to your needs.

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Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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