Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Has the downtrend of AUD/CHF ended?
Information is not investment advice
On the daily chart of AUD/CHF, the pair reached the first crucial support at 0.6880. RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are in the oversold area. Awesome Oscillator formed a bullish divergence with the chart. As a result, we can anticipate a soon recovery of the pair. If bears are able to pull the pair down. The next important support will lie at 0.6830.
However, the odds of the rebound from 0.6880 are high. In the middle term, the main target for the pair is located at 0.7018. Nevertheless, before the pair reaches that level, we may see a correction near 0.6981 with a possible retest of 0.6880. To be sure in the trend reversal, it’s worth waiting until the pair breaks above the trendline near 0.6917.
Fundamental factors: on Thursday, investors will pay attention to the Australian jobs data. If the actual releases are more optimistic than forecasts, the AUD will be encouraged. In the case of the worse readings, the currency may suffer that will affect the direction of the pair. However, if the reversal of the trend is confirmed, the pair will recover.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.