The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Greatest oil sale is coming
Information is not investment advice
OPEC+ shocked investors last week with its decision to prolong output cuts by 500 000 barrels a day. Besides, Saudi Arabia announced it would keep voluntary cuts of 1 million barrels a day throughout April. That actions sent oil prices soaring. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan upgraded their forecasts. According to International Monetary Fund, such high oil prices helped OPEC+ countries to meet government expenses. Overall, everybody is happy.
Did OPEC make it right?
The question is when oil will fall? The current high level of prices is artificially supported by OPEC+. Some criticism has risen over OPEC’s decision as analysts believe the alliance risks over-tightening the oil market. Indeed, oil demand is increasing as the whole world has eased restrictions and thus consumption has started rebounding. Airlines and manufacturing industries are getting back to work, people are traveling and driving cars more. That’s why analysts are worried that OPEC is keeping output cuts, sending prices too high, while it’s time to start increasing oil output.
How to trade oil now?
Brent oil is moving in a nice uptrend with all the moving averages in ascending order. The RSI indicator is close to the 70.00 level, which signals the overbought area. Besides, the price approaches the upper line of Bollinger Bands, which indicates the soon reverse down as well. Brent can likely rally to $73.00, 2020’s high. At that point, the price may lose its steam and drop.
To trade oil with FBS, choose BRN-21K, which expires on March 31.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.