Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
GOLD: will it stay in the channel?
Information is not investment advice
Yesterday, when this article was out, the gold price was $1 922. Since then, it has moved down to the current $1 914. The question is: will it stay in the channel or not.
Fundamentally, the market starts trading with risk-off moods in the stock and currency sectors. That may change as the day goes by, but so far, that should – by the market’s logic – push gold price back up.
If that happens, you should witness reversal at $1 910. To detect it, watch for reversal chart and candlestick formations on smaller timeframes. Otherwise, $1 910 will be crossed and will open the way to lower bearish targets with 50-MA and $1 900.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.