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GOLD: wait, wait, and buy

GOLD: wait, wait, and buy

Information is not investment advice

Gold crossed the December highs of 1 875. By doing so, it entered the zone of two-month resistance reversing the losses of November. To complete the pattern, it would need to reach 1 900. That will likely happen in the mid-term, however, it is strongly advised to factor in the possibility of a downward retrace to 1 850 before or the area above it before an upswing takes the gold price to 1 900.


Therefore, tactically, it is advised that you wait and watch so far. The current bullish rally has been pretty powerful and may exhaust itself at any moment. When that happens, gold may into either a flattening period or retrace downward. A correction to the zone of 1 850 – 1 860 seems more likely. If that happens, that will be the recommended moment to enter the market.


Now, strategically, the channel 1 875 – 1 900 is the upper frontier of the five-month downtrend gold has been in since August. Most of the time, it has been trading below the primary resistance. However, the October high of 1 960 created a reference point to believe that there may be a secondary resistance – which is where the gold price may be aiming at. In any case, that just adds momentum to the potential of a bearish reversal: crossing the five-month resistance zone requires some effort, and even if 1 900 is reached in one shot, it will likely send the price downwards before it comes back up again.


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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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