Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Gold: trading the wavy downtrend
Information is not investment advice
Risky moods are still there in the market - that's why gold is still falling. The MAs are all aligned inversely and aim downwards, and the gold price trades consistently below them. Every now and then, it comes into the area between 50-MA and 100-MA every and cedes back the gains.
Recently, it made a serious dip to 1720 and bounced upwards. If the "algorithm" doesn't change, it's likely to go slightly above 1760 to meet the 50-MA and revert downwards.
Watch the resistance of 50-MA and 1760 for signs of bearish reversal.
- If the U-turn is confirmed, prepare to sell.
- If 50-MA is crossed upwards, that's a bullish challenge to pass the 100-MA and 200-MA - a possible mid-term uptrend alert.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.