The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Gold keeps rallying amid weak dollar
Information is not investment advice
The yellow metal is boosted by the poor performance of the USD. What is the forecast?
On Friday, US President Donald Trump announced that he had been positively tested on Covid-19. As a result, the market sentiment deteriorated immediately. Then, the downbeat NFP came out, driving safe-haven currencies to the upside, especially the Japanese yen and the US dollar.
However, today investors have been encouraged by optimistic comments on Trump’s recovery, their confidence strengthened. Consequently, the greenback waned and gold rose. Indeed, the main driver of XAU/USD is the dollar, which is quite volatile amid upcoming presidential elections, which are scheduled for November 3. Besides, continuing fiscal stimulus talks weigh on the market sentiment. Republicans argue for $1.5 trillion, while Democrats insist on $2.2 trillion.
“There is need for new stimulus measures to rally (gold) prices. Without this mojo, there are signs of fatigue creeping into precious metals,” according to Phillip Futures.
Gold has approached a key resistance of $ 1910. This level was acting as strong support since August, but now it plays a role of resistance. If it manages to break it, the doors towards the upper trendline at $1 920 will be open. The way above $1 920 will confirm further bullish momentum and drive the yellow metal upwards to a high of early August at $1 940. On the flip side, if it falls below the key psychological mark of $1 900, the way to September’s dips of $1 850 will be clear.
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On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.