The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Gold is near 1,700. What’s next?
Information is not investment advice
Gold has almost returned to its March high after the recent huge pullback. Little wonder, since the movement was supported by fears about the prolonged global recession because of the COVID-19.
Gold is a safe-heaven asset in the time of uncertainty. And indeed the current situation is very uncertain: more than 1.8 million people have been infected and nearly 115,000 have died.
According to UBS: “led by Fed easing, we now expect real U.S. interest rates to dip deeper into negative territory”. If interest rates go down, the gold price will increase as lower interest rates will make stocks and bonds less attractive for investors.
Let’s look at the daily XAU/USD chart. After the huge decline from 1,693 to 1,473 during ten days, the gold price rebounded its position. Now it’s heading toward the 1,700 mark. The most probable scenario is bullish as it almost breaks through the resistant line of 1,693. Also, gold is one of those assets that trend really strongly. However, short contractions might be on the way up. Support lines are at 1,641 and 1,600.
Also if we look back at the 2008 crisis. The gold price was going up for a really long time. The economical situation these days is quite similar.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?