The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
GOLD: how far is $ 1900?
Information is not investment advice
Since July 8, the gold price has been in a clear sideways channel best visible at the hourly chart. $1 813 serves as the channels’ resistance, and $1 795 - as the support. In broader terms, it will be enough to specify that gold price fluctuates between “roughly below $1 800” and “slightly above $1 810”.
Currently, it is at the upper border of the channel and gives initial signs of a bearish reversal. Nevertheless, we don’t have enough signs so far to be more confident in this reversal, therefore more time is required to verify this assumption. That’s why the suggested strategy is to wait and watch closely how the price behaves in the coming hours/tomorrow around the resistance of $1 813. In any case, keep in mind – this sideways movement will not take long to convert into another bullish advance.
Last week, we noted how tangled the world economic recovery is now, and how that pushes the price of gold higher. Today, even with the European leaders discussing the financial aid measures and brings more hopes to the market, we still have the strategic layout unchanged.
Fundamentally, we have a very bumpy global economic recovery, clouded by resurging virus infections, still on fire in the US. In addition to that, international relations do not make it any better: US-China, US-EU, Australia-China, UK-EU – all of these are importing more tension into the market, and gold rises.
It took approximately one month for the gold price to leave $1 700 below and come to $1 800. With the cloudy economic future of the world, we should see $1 900 by the end of August. That means, in 4-5 weeks we will behold the nine-year-old all-time high beaten and surpassed.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?