The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Gold: fragile situation
Information is not investment advice
XAU/USD went back above $1 850 after it reversed from the 200-day moving average. A more cautious risk sentiment on the market underpinned the safe-haven yellow metal. Indeed, new Covid-19 cases continue surging all over the world and investors consider that.
However, increasing US bond yields can limit the further rising of gold. Since Democrats will take the control of both houses of Congress, Biden is expected to inject trillions of dollars in fiscal stimulus to support the economy. After this announcement US stocks surged as well as US Treasury bond yields. Higher yields could raise demand for the US dollar, that’s why most traders will fear to make aggressive bets on XAU/USD.
Gold has failed to break through the 200-day moving average of $1 825 and turned to the upside. It may rise till it reaches the resistance of the 50-day moving average at $1 870, where the pullback is expected. In the opposite scenario, if gold drops below the support zone of $1 835-1 825, the way to the key psychological mark of $1 800 will be clear.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.