Best Trade Ideas for April
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Gold: crossing November lows?
Information is not investment advice
Gold has been going down since August. From the high of 2 070, it eventually dropped to 1 765 in November. After, it rose to 1 955 – the second time since autumn - which created a suspicion that a bullish trend change may happen. Never happened. Just in several days, gold plunged to 1 845 and crossed the support of 1 800 – that’s what we’ve been observing recently.
Strategically, the support of 1 765 is an important indicator of the bearish power behind the current downtrend. If it gets crossed, we’ll have a solid confirmation that the market doesn’t find any serious reason to keep gold above 1 800. In this case, if 1 765 gets crossed, 1 700 may result to be a very possible target for bears in the coming weeks.
In the short-term, we are still waiting to confirm whether the large downtrend will continue or not. So far, 1 765 is still the secondary support; the primary is 1 775. Now, if the price bounces downwards from the local resistance of 1 800 where it’s aiming now, that may be the start of the downswing that would drag gold to cross the November lows of 1 865. Otherwise, If 1 800 gets crossed to the upside, there will be a higher likelihood to see a bullish takeover of the large panorama.
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