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GBP vs EUR and USD: strategic look

GBP vs EUR and USD: strategic look

Information is not investment advice

Brexit is stalled, but both the EU and the UK express hopes for a successful resolution. These hopes recently sparked an aggressive spike the GBP went on against the EUR and the USD. What’s the technical outlook?


As surprising as it may sound, those strong moves don’t introduce any change into the existing trends. On a daily chart below, the last large green candlestick is exactly the rise of GBP/USD on Wednesday. The move was really big and doesn’t even have a similar one in magnitude on this panorama. But tactically, it falls well into the uptrend that has been in the place since the middle of September. From below 1.30, GBP/USD rose above 1.31. Most probably, it will go into bearish correction above 1.30 to eventually reverse and rise back above 1.31 on the other side of the uptrend.



Pretty much the same applies to EUR/GBP. After hanging above 0.9040, it plunged down to almost 0.9000. Tactically, that’s just another wave in in a local downtrend that has been in the place since the middle of September. A large one though – you can see that last long red candlestick between 0.9150 and 0.9000. Strategically, that downtrend itself is just another wave in a larger gradual uptrend that’s visible all across the chart. So the observers are right to say that Brexit is merely a local episode for the UK economy – the fundamental factors is what matters.


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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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