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GBP/USD : recaptures 1.3900 amid UK reopening, Brexit optimism

GBP/USD : recaptures 1.3900 amid UK reopening, Brexit optimism

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CHF/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAG/USD: Silver continuous to stand below 23.6% retracement area. Bullish pressure is growing during the last hours and before NFP.


EU Market View

Asian shares started the week in a cautious mood on Monday, as a spike in coronavirus cases across the region over the weekend hurt investor sentiment while oil hovered around 2-1/2 year highs. Investors were concerned about a spike in coronavirus infections in Asia, with Australia's most populous city of Sydney plunging into a lockdown after a cluster of cases involving the highly contagious Delta strain ballooned.

Indonesia is battling record high cases while a lockdown in Malaysia is set to be extended. Thailand too announced new restrictions in Bangkok and other provinces.

Chinese shares were a touch higher with the CSI300 index up 0.2%. Data over the weekend showed profit growth at China's industrial firms slowed again in May as surging raw material prices squeezed margins and weighed on factory activity.

The dollar was largely unchanged in early European trade Monday, maintaining a firm tone after recent inflation data as the market prepares for this week’s key payrolls release. The dollar took an initial hit on Friday following the release of the Federal Reserve’s favorite gauge of inflation, the core US CPI This increased 0.5% in May, short of expectations for a 0.6% rise, which reassured some that inflation is not running out of control. Even so, the year on year was 3.4%, the biggest jump since 1992, and failed to completely quell fears that the Federal Reserve will be forced to normalize monetary policy sooner than it currently expects.

Adding support to the greenback were comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren on Friday, who suggested the central bank could consider an interest-rate hike as soon as late 2022 as the labor market reaches full employment. With this in mind, Friday's nfp will be the market’s key focus this week, with economists expecting an increase of 675,000 jobs. 





EU Key Point

  • Germany May import price index +1.7% vs +1.3% m/m expected.
  • Germany reports 219 new coronavirus cases, 8 deaths in latest update today.
  • Moody's is optimistic Chinese authorities will continue to lower systemic risks in the fintech sector.
  • US air strikes against Iran-backed militia in Syria and Iraq.
  • UK Chancellor Sunak UK Health minister - hopes up for July 19 reopening.
  • Australia coronavirus - lockdown extended over a much greater area of Sydney.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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