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GBP/USD: outlook remains bearish
Information is not investment advice
In the current financial turmoil, the British pound doesn’t look like the currency of choice. At least, not versus the US dollar or the Japanese yen.
GBP/USD retraced more than 78.6% Fibonacci of the 2019 advance. Last week was the worst for the pair since the Brexit referendum. Despite the fact that the pair is oversold in the short-term, the market’s demand for the greenback remains strong. The GBP, on the other hand, is vulnerable because of Brexit and Britain’s large current account deficit. Finally, the UK is affected by the coronavirus outbreak. The advance above 1.2300 is needed for a correction to 1.2550.
Trade idea for GBP/USD
SELL 1.2185; TP 1.2055; SL 1.2210
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?