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GBP/USD: key technical levels
Information is not investment advice
GBP/USD is having a third bullish week in a row. The pair has reached our previous buy target at 1.25 and may be up for more given its clear attempt to form a base around 1.20 and the previous break above 1.23. In the short-term, the pair may test lower levels as there's bearish divergence on the H4. The key level for the upside is 1.25 (100-day MA, previous week's highs): the decline there may attract new buyers that will aim at 1.2700/30. If, however, GBP/USD slides below 1.2490, it will be the time for selling with targets at 1.2440 and 1.2390.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.