Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!
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Status: consolidation
Support: 1.2300
Resistance: 1.2455
Awesome Oscillator: at zero line
What looks like a stopped heartbeat on the GBP/USD H4 is a consolidation of the currency pair with almost 0% fluctuation. Why suddenly?
First, the GBP was losing to the USD due to fueled demand of investors for the USD as a reserve currency. But then, in the second part of March, the reports started growing gloomier for the US. Donald Trump eventually changed the tone at his press conferences from optimistic to quite pessimistic, and +6.5mln applications for the unemployment benefits among the Americans made the US dollar tremble. At the same time, that disappointment did not hit as strong due to hopes on the US-President-suggested scenario for the OPEC+ to cut oil supply by 10mln per day on Thursday.
However, the GBP could not take advantage of none of that because the UK is in a dire situation itself. The Bank of England is pumping more currency into its economy and plans to keep doing so. Hence, both currencies got weaker, although due to a different set of factors.
What will it be next? In the short term, today’s NFP will show. In the long-term, the strength is still on the US dollar’s side.
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
U.S. stocks are set to reopen higher after the Martin Luther King Day holiday on Monday, with Yellen’s remarks a welcome reminder of the momentum behind economic stimulus measures.
Joe Biden will take the post of president of the USA on the morning of 20 January 2021. Trump is going to skip the inauguration. What will be the market reaction? Let’s find out!
Asian equity markets mostly rallied with risk appetite spurred as trade picked up from Monday’s holiday.
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