Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
GBP/USD: at the dawn of a new era?
Information is not investment advice
The pound has been pretty strong lately. Possibly, on the latest “news” (that’s been like that since summer though) that by early next week we may finally see the Brexit deal sealed. So on the surface, just watch the resistance of 1.33 for bulls, and 1.3220 for bears. But that’s not the most interesting thing.
The zone of 1.3230 – 1.33 is the two-year resistance area for GBP/USD, it’s very clearly visible on the weekly chart below. We haven’t noticed with this virus that the pound gradually recovered all the virus losses and is on the brink of breaking this resistance. What is up there, beyond 1.33?
Beyond 1.33, it is a game-changing scenario of GBP/USD building a new long-term uptrend. The first strategic high on the way would be 1.43, and then, all those heights left by the pound in the course of this decade. Unexpected, isn’t it? That’s right – that’s what an every-now-and-then strategic view gives. So watch how Brexit goes, follow the course of the UK economic recovery, and let’s see – maybe, we are at the opening of the new era for the pound.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.