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GBP: the countdown

GBP: the countdown

Information is not investment advice

All parties involved in the Brexit process are now openly admitting that the most probable scenario is a no-deal end of the story. Ursula von der Leyen, Boris Johnson, other country leaders – most say bridging the UK to the EU is now quite unlikely. There are three days to go, still. We’ll see, maybe Sunday will shine at us with a suddenly made deal.

In the meantime, the GBP is quite unwell. Against the USD, it lost all the gains of the last two weeks and moved down to 1.32.


Against the EUR… well, you see what’s happening. 0.90, 0.91, 0.92… If September highs above 0.92 get crossed, it’s only April’s resistance of 0.95 left ahead in the upside. Is it likely? Quite so. The situation is indeed pretty extraordinary. However, many observers comment that the no-deal Brexit has been factored in back in 2016 when the divorce was decided. We’ll see about that then, and so far, let’s stick to watching 0.92.  


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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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