The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
GBP: positive outlook
Information is not investment advice
The British pound has been gaining since May 18 and it’s unlikely to stop. What are the reasons behind this?
First of all, the market sentiment has really improved these days as economies are reopening, and the end of the crisis is visible. Another reason is that Brexit talks have been positive in tone, according to UK Chief Negotiator David Frost. Most investors believe that the agreement will be soon achieved in next few months.
However, there is hardly a real progress between the UK and the EU. It’s obvious, that Brexit wasn’t a key problem for quite a long time for both sides. They were mainly focused on mitigating the coronavirus damage on their economies. And now, when rates of new infections have significantly decreased and most companies are back to work, authorities have more time for the Brexit issue. Last week Germany claimed that it would step in Brexit negotiations in autumn. They even set a deadline to reach a compromise – 15 October.
The sticking point is fishing. According to Head of Unit European Commission Stefaan De Rynck, both the UK and the EU have "maximalist" positions and they should get into more detailed discussions “on stocks on quotas, on access to waters and see where the landing zone is on that”.
To sum up, the British pound is moving up on optimistic outlook for Brexit negotiations. Nevertheless, any disputes or tensions between the EU and the UK may put some pressure on the British pound in next months. Anyway, most analysts expect GBP to rise at the end of this year as the real deadline approaches.
Let’s look at the GBP/USD chart. Now the price struggles to break through the 200-day moving average at 1.26. If it crosses it, it will open doors towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2825. The next retracement will be at 1.31. Support levels are 1.25 and 1.23.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.