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GBP/CAD will be volatile
Information is not investment advice
GBP/CAD made a huge leap to the upside yesterday and got above 1.65, but arrived at the resistance line from May. The odds are that Friday will once again bring the pair in motion: the market awaits Brexit-related news, while Canada will publish important labor market figures at 15:30 MT time.
The return below 1.6500 will open the way down to 1.6430 (100-day MA) and potentially to 1.6300 (September-October support line). This will happen if no signs of Brexit agreement come through and if Canadian figures surpass the weak forecast. On the other hand, the rise above yesterday’s high (1.6575) will open the way up to 1.6685 (September high).
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.