Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
GBP: back to 1985
Information is not investment advice
Performance in 2020: -10%
Last day range: 1.2002 – 1.2271
52-week range: 1.1845 – 1.3350
Currently, the GBP trades in the area of 1.1860 against the US dollar. The monthly chart below shows its historical performance. The resistance is located at 1.2655, which may seem too stretched even for a daily chart, but under the conditions the UK is now it is quite reasonable: GBP/USD was there not more than a week ago.
A diligent trader will reproach the author for not zooming out the chart enough to show what the support of 1.1700 is based on. Unfortunately, MetaTrader 4 doesn’t allow zooming out enough to capture 35 years of GBP/USD performance and show where the pound was in 1985.
Right. A 35-years low. Soviet Union was still there when the pound was this low. Why? Because of the coronavirus, Brexit, global assets dumped, the GBP dumped for the USD, bad weather, you name it. Therefore, there is quite no certainty on the next move by the GBP. But as usual: be amazed by what the market does, but don’t step away from your trading fundamentals. As bottomless a plunge as it seems, there will be a sure correction upwards – be there to catch it.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.