Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Friday's markets were in red
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
GBP/JPY: The GBP/JPY pair is trading near the lower level of the Kumo. Any decisive movement to the south will push prices to exit the cloud, attempting to retest the previous low. On the other hand, an upward wave would lead the exchange rate towards the upper level of the Kumo.
The new variant of the virus that got the name Omicron starts to be of concern. The variant is spreading in many countries and already there are confirmed or suspected cases in the UK, Belgium, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Australia, Hong Kong and Israel –just to mention a few.
In the equity space, Friday's markets were in red, and risk-off sentiment was evident across equities, bonds and commodities, as Covid spooked markets yet again. It was a classic risk off session, with cyclicals clearly underperforming and VIX spiking at 30. Energy, autos and banks were hit the worst, with sharp declines in the -4% to -5% range. Regionally, Europe was hit the worst while on the other side of the Atlantic, major indices closed as follows: Dow Jones -2.5%, S&P 500 down -2.2%, and NASDAQ -2.2%. US futures are rebounding this morning, but Asian markets remain in the -0.5% range.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.