Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EURUSD moved sharply lower after the ECB meeting
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
CHF/JPY: The CHF/JPY pair is now trading into fresh highs. Further bullish sentiment will lead the exchange rate into higher ground. On the other hand, a correction course will push the market below the Tenkan sen level, targeting the Kijun sen level.
The Bank of Russia looks like is ready to continue to cut its key interest rate following the cut to 17% on April 8th, despite inflation that accelerates. Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina hinted at this on Monday.
In the equity front, US stocks were without direction on Monday and the sector performance quite even, but with a slight preference for growth cyclicals. Reflation winners, as materials and energy, continued to outperform. Dow Jones closed marginally lower -0.1%, S&P500 was unchanged and NASDAQ also -0.1%.
In the FX space EURUSD moved sharply lower after the ECB meeting and is now trading below 1.08. EURGBP declined below 0.83. Oil has risen from USD104/bbl. to now USD113/bbl.
In Japan, FinMin Suzuki repeated Bank of Japan governor Kuroda's worry about sharp yen moves this morning as a perfect storm of increasing global yields and high energy prices is weighing heavily on the yen. USDJPY hit a 20-year low this morning.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.