Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!

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European markets gradually rose during the session

European markets gradually rose during the session

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CAD/JPY: The CAD/JPY pair is now testing the Tenkan sen and Kijun sen levels. Any violation of these levels will push prices down to the previous bottom. Alternatively, a bounce up would lead the market within the Kumo.


Market View

Some twenty Central Banks hold meetings this week as inflation keeps rising. Worth noting that Fed, ECB, BoJ and BoE together are responsible for half of the world’s economy.

In the equities front, improving inflation data helped improve the initially sour risk appetite on Friday. European markets gradually rose during the session, closing moderately lower and US markets higher. Growth stocks and defensives were leading the markets higher, helped by lower yields. Tech stocks and consumer staples were among the best performers, while banks lagged. Dow Jones closed higher by 0.6%, S&P +1% and NASDAQ +0.8%. The FANGMAN complex has now hit a new ATH at USD11.2tn, mostly driven by APPL. The fear index VIX moved south of 20. Tech is driving gains in Asia this morning as well. US futures are pointing slightly higher.

In the FX space, last week was characterised by a relief setback to the USD post US inflation while some of the more risk- and commodity sensitive currencies in GBP, MXN and RUB gained. EURUSD is now back above 1.13. In the EM space, S&P cut Turkey’s credit outlook from stable to negative citing plunging Lira and rising inflation. Lira took another dive this morning on the back of the downgrade and currently trades north of 14.40 against the dollar.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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