Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
European markets gradually rose during the session
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
CAD/JPY: The CAD/JPY pair is now testing the Tenkan sen and Kijun sen levels. Any violation of these levels will push prices down to the previous bottom. Alternatively, a bounce up would lead the market within the Kumo.
Some twenty Central Banks hold meetings this week as inflation keeps rising. Worth noting that Fed, ECB, BoJ and BoE together are responsible for half of the world’s economy.
In the equities front, improving inflation data helped improve the initially sour risk appetite on Friday. European markets gradually rose during the session, closing moderately lower and US markets higher. Growth stocks and defensives were leading the markets higher, helped by lower yields. Tech stocks and consumer staples were among the best performers, while banks lagged. Dow Jones closed higher by 0.6%, S&P +1% and NASDAQ +0.8%. The FANGMAN complex has now hit a new ATH at USD11.2tn, mostly driven by APPL. The fear index VIX moved south of 20. Tech is driving gains in Asia this morning as well. US futures are pointing slightly higher.
In the FX space, last week was characterised by a relief setback to the USD post US inflation while some of the more risk- and commodity sensitive currencies in GBP, MXN and RUB gained. EURUSD is now back above 1.13. In the EM space, S&P cut Turkey’s credit outlook from stable to negative citing plunging Lira and rising inflation. Lira took another dive this morning on the back of the downgrade and currently trades north of 14.40 against the dollar.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.