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EUR/USD temporarily touched 1.19 on Friday

EUR/USD temporarily touched 1.19 on Friday

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

AUD/JPY: The AUD/JPY pair is now testing the upper level of the Kumo. An upward wave would lead the exchange rate to retest the previous top.


European Market View

The week starts quietly as it is a Labor Day in the US today, so markets will be closed.

US jobs report disappointed last Friday, with payrolls print at 235.000 for August. This was clearly an unwanted surprise for the FED which has been talking about tapering asset purchases at one of the upcoming meetings (e.g. in September). As it is almost very difficult to guess, which way the Fed will choose to interpret weak job creation, the impact on the dollar from expectations to future fed policy will also be very hard to predict in the near term. There is a real risk Fed may wish to sound a tad more dovish until jobs accelerate again.

In the equity front, Friday ended on a slightly weaker note, weighed down by the huge job miss. Tech and growth took the lead as markets discounted a dovish interpretation for Fed. Tech, communication services and health care were the winners for the day, while utilities, materials, industrials and financials sold off. S&P recouped the initial losses and ended unchanged, NASDAQ rose 0.2% and Dow Jones -0.2%. In Asia this morning, markets are up 1-2% led by Japan. US markets will be closed for holiday and futures only see small movements.

In the FX space, EUR/USD temporarily touched 1.19 on Friday after the job growth in US disappointed. The pair currently is trading about 30pps lower than the 1.1900 mark.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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