Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EUR/USD: looks at 1.25 target
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold sell-off keeps going. Sellers send price below 38.2% retracement area.
US Market View
The dollar headed lower in early European trade Monday, as traders deserted the safe haven on hopes that Congress will finally agree on a fiscal stimulus package ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. A bipartisan bill for a $908 billion Covid-19 relief package is set to be introduced in Congress later in the day, which could be split into two separate packages in order to maximize the chances of something getting through differences between Republicans and Democrats. The pound rebounded after the U.K. and European Union agreed to extend their negotiations on a post-Brexit free trade agreement yet again, after missing the latest self-imposed deadline on Sunday. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will release its monthly report on the world oil market as crude oil futures consolidate above $50 a barrel for the first time since the pandemic erupted.
USA Key Point
- The GBP is the strongest and the USD is the weakest
- US expects to immunise 100 million by March
- ECB's Panetta says inflation will remain subdued
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.