The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
EUR/USD keeps rallying on EU’s recovery fund
Information is not investment advice
EU members will meet today for the fourth day of talks. According to Bloomberg, EU countries such as the Netherlands, Austria, Denmark and Sweden are ready to agree on a key plank of the deal. 390 billion euros of the fund should be invested as grants and 360 billion euros – as low-interest loans. It gave the euro a strong impetus to the upside.
The overall market sentiment is still mixed. New coronavirus cases are still climbing up. However, some hopes for a soon vaccine appeared. Richard Horton, Editor of The Lancet, tweeted this on Sunday:
His tweet improved the market sentiment a little bit and weighed on the safe-haven US dollar, as well. Of course, there are some fears that the EU meeting may end today without the final agreement. That would push the Euro to the downside, but now everything seems to go according to the plan.
The euro has shown the great performance since the coronavirus outbreak happened. It has managed to rise from 1.0656 to almost 1.1450 for over 4 months. Today it approached to the high of January 6, 2019 at 1.1470. If it breaks it through, it will surge to the resistance at the key psychological mark at 1.1500. Support levels are at lows of July 17 and 18: at 1.1428 and 1.1385, relatively. Follow news further!
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?