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EUR/USD is at decisive levels
Information is not investment advice
EUR/USD was supported in the 1.0990 area last week. The support was strengthened by the fact that the attempted breakout of this level failed. On Monday, the pair recovered on the weak US data and went up through the 50- and the 100-day MAs. Now these lines provide support at 1.1070 and 1.1040. Resistance is now located in the 1.1100/1.1115 area (trend line going down from October 2018 highs). The advance above this zone is needed to open the way up to 1.1160 (200-day MA). All in all, EUR/USD finds itself in a confined space now, so bigger moves should come soon.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.