Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EUR/USD: faces further appreciation during 2021
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
CAD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAG/USD: Silver is consolidating below 38.2% retracement area but price action remains weak.
EU Market View
Asian equity markets mostly lacked firm direction as bourses took their cue from the rangebound session in the US where tech losses were offset by cyclicals. US President-elect Biden is to seek a deal with Republicans on COVID-19 relief instead of attempting to push through legislation without their support, according to sources. Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include EZ industrial production, US CPI, ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Bullard, Brainard, Harker, Clarida speeches. The House will vote on asking Vice President Pence to remove D. Trump from the president’s office. A vote on impeachment is possible for Wednesday in the likely event of Pence refusing. Merkel warns Germany may need another 10 weeks of lockdown, while a raft of Fed speakers will flesh out thoughts of when the best moment to start tapering bond purchases may be.
EU Key Point
- Germany December wholesale price index comes at +0.6% vs +0.1% m/m prior
- BOJ reportedly considering downgrading view of economy amid state of emergency
- German health minister supports that It will not be possible to lift all restrictions in February
- Germany reports 19,600 new coronavirus cases, 1,060 deaths in latest update today
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.