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EUR/USD broke lower
Information is not investment advice
EUR/USD has dived below support at 1.1100 and 1.1050 resuming the longer-term downtrend. The longer-term target seems to be at 1.0820 (78.6% Fibo of the 2016-2018 advance) after the pair settled below the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 1.1185. As for the near-term, the “Head and Shoulders” pattern implies that the targets are not yet reached - 1.1000 and 1.0950. The pair’s still not oversold.
The market is awaiting an increase in ISM Manufacturing PMI. The USD is strengthening as the Federal Reserve wasn’t as dovish as expected.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?