Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EUR/USD: a chance for recovery
Information is not investment advice
On H4, the EUR/USD pair has fallen to the important support at 1.1126 and rebounded. It's a good chance for the euro to recover. We can anticipate a continuation of the rise as the pair has reached the level of 1.1144. Then the next target will be placed at 1.1168 (upper boundary of the previous consolidation range).
Alternative scenario: on the daily chart, the pair formed the head and shoulders pattern. And the target of the pattern is located much lower than 1.1126. If the pair moves below 1.1126, the next level to watch is 1.1110. A great plunge will be confirmed only after the slide below 1.1065.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.