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EUR/JPY: outlook has worsened

EUR/JPY: outlook has worsened

Information is not investment advice

It looks like the euro is vulnerable to further declines versus the Japanese yen. Yesterday, the European Commission cut the euro zone’s GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 1.2% from 1.3% predicted in February. The reading is well below the 1.9% growth seen in 2018. This hurt EUR/JPY. Today, the ECB will release the accounts of its last meeting, and the risks for the euro are once again negative. In addition, the yen is gaining strength as a safe haven asset amid the problems in the US-Sino trade talks.

EUR/JPY was supported at 123.10 on Tuesday (50% of the advance since January). The decline below this level will open the way down to 122.15. On the other hand, it’s necessary to mention that the pair has already made a significant move down this week, so it can make an attempt to correct to 124.00. Selling pressure will reappear at this point. To return to power bulls need to push the price above the weekly pivot point at 124.65.    

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Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?

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