The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
EUR: impregnable 1.1900 resistance
Information is not investment advice
EUR/USD has again failed to cross the resistance of 1.1900 this week and directed to the downside. The pair’s drop isn’t linked only with the euro’s weakness, but also with the dollar’s strength. The market was indecisive for some time, but virus fears outweigh vaccine hopes eventually, and the risk-off entered the market.
Today is a really important day for the euro as ECB’s President Lagarde has had a meeting already and the EU conference is ahead. Lagarde’s speech drove the EUR down as she gave pessimistic comments on the economic recovery of Eurozone and emphasized the devastating effect of the fresh Covid-19 resurgence. Indeed, the number of new infections rose significantly, and EU countries imposed social distancing restrictions and lockdowns. Elsewhere, Lagarde claimed that additional monetary and fiscal support will be needed. A potential further easing pushed the euro down.
EUR/USD has broken through the 50-period moving average at the 1.1830 level. The way to the key psychological mark of 1.1800 is clear now. If it manages to cross it, it may fall to the 200-period moving average of 1.17825. However, the 50-period moving average has been supporting the pair so far this week, so it may turn to the upside again. The strong resistance area is 1.1890-1.19000. The move above it will drive the pair further up to the next round number of 1.1950. Follow the EU Conference at 17:00 MT time as it will impact the euro!
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
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This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.