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EUR/GBP lost pace
Information is not investment advice
EUR/GBP fell despite the fact that the British pound got weakened by the news that Boris Johnson on Tuesday won the contest to be the next British prime minister increasing the odds of a no-deal Brexit.
It happened as the currency pair was long due for a correction. For now, it retraced 23.4% of the May-July advance and got to the 50-day MA at 0.8910. The next support, the 38.2% Fibo retracement level, is at 0.8835.
Last week’s candlestick on W1 is a “shooting star”. It means that it will be hard for EUR/GBP to overcome resistance at 0.9050. There’s bearish divergence on D1 - a sign that the downside correction may continue. On H4, we see a “head and shoulders” pattern. The neckline at 0.8950 is providing a closer resistance.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?