The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
EUR/GBP: is there more room to fall?
Information is not investment advice
The pound gained due to upbeat UK’s PMI and vaccine news. Let’s analyze the chart.
Today is the day of PMI reports from EU countries, the UK, and the USA. The Eurozone PMI report came out mixed: the growth of the manufacturing industry slightly exceeded expectation, whereas services rose less than expected. There is no surprise as bars, restaurants, and businesses in the hospitality and tourism sectors have really tough times these days. Bloomberg has even claimed that the fresh virus resurgence pushed the euro area into another contraction. At the same time, UK’s PMI reports beat estimates.
UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson claimed that he is ready to make a political intervention to boost the Brexit development. His aim is to reach a deal by the next week. That news increased the demand for the pound as well as the optimistic vaccine report of the AstraZeneca/Oxford University. In comparison with vaccines of Moderna and Pfizer, this one has a lower efficacy rate but still offers many advantages. It’s cheaper, faster to produce, and easier to store.
The vaccine news and upbeat UK PMI reports drove the GBP higher, and therefore EUR/GBP lower. The pair is trading inside of the descending channel. Today it has reached the strong support of 0.8870, which it has failed to reach many times this year, that’s why the price pulled back. If it jumps above the high of October 10 at 0.8930, it may rise to the next resistance of 0.8957. Support levels are 0.8870 and 0.8850.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?