Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EUR/GBP: going down?
Information is not investment advice
Brexit is still hanging. The EU Summit didn’t give any conclusive signal to the UK. Nor did the European Union’s member states come to an agreement between themselves no how hard they should stick to the red lines and how impenetrable those red lines are for the EU. In any case, Boris Johnson is supposed to decide whether he wants to walk away from the negotiations or continue them – today. The day has just begun in the UK and EU, and hours are ticking.
In the meantime, EUR/GBP is going further and further down pressed by the channel resistance. In the last episode, the currency pairbounced downwards from 0.9080. If the logic of the movement stays the say, we will see 0.9000 reached pretty soon. But the day isn’t over and the tension is high: reversals are possible in all directions. That’s why watch 0.9040 on the downside as well, and look for trend reversal chart formations to make sure there is no surprise from bulls. Or bears.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.