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EUR/GBP: critical moment for potential bullish reversal

EUR/GBP: critical moment for potential bullish reversal

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

NZD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAU/USD: Gold facing a further weakness the last hours and trading near a full retracement area. Gold continues to flirt with session lows.


US Market View

U.S. stocks are set to open lower later but are still on course for a positive week after Biden’s address. The reversal in Treasury yields undermined the rally in global stocks, pushing both U.S. futures into the red in early trade on Friday. Chinese and Japanese markets escaped the worst of the selling. EU, apart from Spain and Portugal, is now experiencing a clear pickup in Covid-19 cases, casting doubt over the further reopening of the economy.

In a televised address, Biden urged states to make all U.S. adults eligible for vaccine shots by May 1, an aim that dovetails with earlier comments about wanting all adults vaccinated by the end of that month. U.S. President Biden signed the $1.9 trillion stimulus package into law, a day earlier than expected, and signaled an acceleration in the national vaccination campaign, targeting a return to normal life in time for the July 4 holiday. The yield on the US Tr. note hit a high of 1.61% Friday, as President Joe Biden's pressure on states to accelerate vaccination campaigns and his signing of the $1.9 stimulus package emboldened bets on strong U.S. growth this year.  

USA Key Point

  • Treasury yields at the highs for the day ahead of North American trading.
  • Nasdaq futures slump 2% as the wild ride continues.
  • Euurozone January industrial production comes at +0.8% vs +0.5% m/m than expected.
  • ECB's Muller supports that faster pace of PEPP buying is temporary.
  • EUR/USD slumps to fresh lows on the day as dollar continues to push higher.
  • Italy reportedly set to return to lockdown until after Easter.
  • Gold gets a reality check as the bounce this week begin to fizzle.
  • Dollar gains across the board as Treasury yields surge higher on the session.
  • XAU/USD struggles near three-day lows.
  • GBP/USD to edge lower on another surge in yields.



Will the FOMC Surprise the Markets?

The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.

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