Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
EUR/GBP : climbs above 0.8600 key point
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
NZD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold enters a consolidation phase and continues to trade above 23.6% retracement area .
US Market View
U.S. stocks are set to open mixed later, extending a consolidation that began on Tuesday and is hinting that the latest round of stimulus checks isn’t necessarily going straight into the stock market.
The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its last policy meeting, adding further nuance to a message from Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference that was overwhelmingly dovish. They may make for an interesting contrast with an increasingly bright outlook for the U.S. economy: the IMF revised up its forecast for U.S. growth this year on Monday to 6%, from only 5.5% in January.
Crude oil prices continue to struggle below $60 a barrel, in the wake of last week’s decision by OPEC and its allies to raise output by over 1 million barrels a day during the second quarter. The mood was damped by the progress of the Covid-19 pandemic in India, South America and Europe, which are all expected to stay under demand-sapping lockdowns for some time yet.
USA Key Point
- Fed's Evans: 'Substantial further progress' won't be met for a while.
- Canada February international merchandise trade balance +1.04B vs +1.30B expected.
- The CHF is the strongest and the AUD is the weakest.
- Germany's Merkel said to back 'short national lockdown' to curb virus situation.
- German government says that health system is under threat, coming under pressure.
- Fed's Kaplan: As we're making progress towards our goals, it would be healthier to wean off these extraordinary measures.
- ECB's Knot: We can flexibly adjust PEPP volumes even within the quarter, if appropriate.
- Treasury yields stay on the retreat to start the session.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?