The End of Era: What Might the UK Face Next?
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
EUR: bullish forecasts from Crédit Agricole
Information is not investment advice
Strategists at Crédit Agricole expect the USD will continue falling, while the EUR will keep rising in the coming months. The bank named the greenback as the largest loser from the global recovery. Indeed, the US dollar has been dipping for almost half a year already. As a result, EUR/USD has broken through the key psychological level of 1.2000. It’s a natural thing that investors take out their capital from safe-havens assets such as the USD and flow them into assets with higher returns as the global economy is entering the new growth phase.
Undervalued EUR vs overvalued USD
Crédit Agricole considers that the greenback is overvalued against its major peers as the USA has fiscal and trade deficit. “Global investors could thus start hedging against future depreciation of the currency and sell the USD forward”. At the same time, Crédit Agricole models demonstrate that the euro is undervalued.
Forecast
According to Crédit Agricole, "recovering global growth and trade will lead to increased selling of USD by global corporates as they convert their growing exports proceeds into their home currencies”. They foresee EUR/USD to reach 1.2500.
Technical tips
EUR/USD is touching the 50-period moving average, which has been supporting the pair since the start of November. Therefore, the price is unlikely to break down, but if it does, the support zone of the recent lows of 1.2100-1.2110 will limit the further falling. When EUR/USD approaches the resistance of 1.2170, it may meet the fresh selloff ahead of the breakout. The next resistance will be at 1.2200.
Similar
Why didn't oil prices calm despite OPEC+ attempts?
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
How to Stay Calm and Trade on Uncertainties
Despite the negative news and worrying headlines, we recommend traders to make mental reframing of the situation. This way, you can look at the market from a different perspective. Let’s observe how you can take advantage of the uncertainties and make the fundamentals work for you!
Popular
Fed Keeps Pushing USD to 2000s Highs
The US dollar index has all chances of reaching the 2000s high of 120.00.
Gold isn't saving investors from inflation
Many investors treated gold as a protection against inflation. However, last week, gold lost its major support and dropped despite rising inflation. Why did it act like this?
Bitcoin Skyrockets Ahead of ETH Merge and US CPI Release
First, "ETH merge" Google requests are on the rise. At the same time, "buy ETH" requests are at their two-year lows, which is quite a negative factor ahead of the vast update. The community either doesn’t believe in the success, or they are following the "buy the rumors – sell the news" rule and waiting for the massive dump after the merge.
Choose your payment system
