
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
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Performance in 2020: -0.6%
Last day range: 1.1037 – 1.1184
52-week range: 1.0780-1.1515
The euro has been in decline against the US dollar since the very beginning of 2018. That means, for more than two years. Now, this long-term trend is put to a test. Who would know that it would be Coronavirus that led to such an outcome?
So the euro has retaken all its losses to the USD that we have seen since the beginning of February. In fact, it is now one step away to recover all it gave to the US dollar during this year. If it comes to test the resistance of 1.1250, which is the December high and a 6-months high, that will be a sound tactical victory.
Strategically, reaching up to 1.1250 would mean defying the long-term downward trend (market as a blue straight line). That resistance level is less than in 100 pips from the current 1.1145, and EUR/USD made stronger leaps in the recent days. So even if the target may not be an easy one, it is completely realistic for a day’s trade.
Geopolitically, the question about the EUR/USD and its further advancements gets increasingly intriguing as the trade between the US and Europe doesn’t seem to be moving along the most pacifying note on behalf of each side, and Brexit is another catalyst to that “friendly” trade process. Let’s watch what the ECB president Christine Lagarde says next week, and what the US Fed brings to the table the week after.
Resistance 1.1250
Support 1.1000
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo EUR/JPY: The EUR/JPY pair is now trading within the Kumo…
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair is now trading above the Kumo…
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
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