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Equities started September on a positive note

Equities started September on a positive note

Information is not investment advice

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Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CAD/JPY: CAD/JPY surged in today’s session and managed to enter within the cloud. Further bullish momentum will lead the exchange rate to exit the Kumo, with more bullish implications. A failed attempt to move higher will push prices to a retracement down to the Tenkan sen level.

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European Market View

Equities started September on a positive note with gains in most regions and across most sectors. Energy and materials the only sectors lower as metal and oil price fell yesterday. Growth and small cap stocks outperformed as the sweet spot for equities got more support from macro data yesterday. Asian stocks mixed this morning as China on the one hand continues to crack down on big tech while the PBOC on the other hand softened a bit by making more low-cost funding available for SMEs. European and US futures are slightly lower this morning.

The OPEC agreed to proceed with its existing plan for gradual oil supply increases, as ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day output hike scheduled for October. Oil price increases have been an important global inflation driver this year, but despite the planned supply increase, oil prices were little changed on the announcement, with Brent holding steady at USD 71.3 per barrel.

In the FX space, the dollar pulled back yesterday, while commodity and industrial sensitive currencies gained. The terms of trade impact from rising metal prices have hit JPY somewhat in recent sessions and also EUR/CHF has edged higher this week.

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Inflation in New Zealand is the highest since 1990, edging to 7.3% in Q2 2022. The currency is under heavy pressure as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is trying to reverse the inflationary spiral. The week ahead will give us a valuable clue about the country’s monetary policy, and we are here to talk about that.

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