
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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Bloomberg reported that ‘the S&P 500 Energy Index has outperformed the broader S&P 500 by 21 percentage points so far this year, with the top-performing stock, Devon Energy Corp., gaining a whopping 167%’.
Now, energy stocks have outperformed the broader market for the first time since 2016! Moreover, analysts believe that this trend will continue despite the global shift to renewable energy resources.
“There’s a massive appetite to invest in it because it’s just spewing out cash right now,” said Rafi Tahmazian, whose energy producer-focused fund is up 91.2% year to date.
As usually, opinions are divided. Some experts predict that oil prices may experience a correction. WTI oil (XTI/USD) is expected to drop to $66 per barrel by the end of the first half of 2022 and $65 per barrel by the year-end. Still, Tahmazian claimed energy companies could continue to be profitable with lower oil prices.
However, the OPEC+ alliance has upgraded the global oil demand forecast for the first quarter of 2022. The OPEC members believe that the omicron impact will be mild and short-lived. Indeed, the outlook for more robust demand in combination with the current supply limits can keep oil prices afloat.
XBR/USD is moving inside the ascending channel. The key resistance level lies at $80.00. If crude oil manages to break above this level and close there, then oil has all chances to rally further to the October peak at $85.00. Support levels are at the intersection of the 50-week moving average and the lower trend line at $71.50 and $68.00.
Royal Dutch Shell #RDSB
Linde Plc #LIN
Anglo American Plc #AAL
XTI/USD (WTI oil)
XBR/USD (Brent oil)
XNG/USD (Natural Gas)
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
The EU plans to intervene in markets directly to curb rising energy costs, threatening to push the Euro area's economy into a deep recession.
US oil exports reached a record last week at five million barrels a day, according to Energy Information Administration data…
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
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