Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Dollar regains some ground
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
CAD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold after a remarkable selloff is trading above the 38.2% retracement area.
US Market View
US stock markets are set to open the week higher on the back of the improving news flow from the pandemic and confidence in sustained high liquidity, given the loose state of US fiscal and monetary policy. The latter is expected to be reaffirmed on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting. California is set to lift its stay-at-home order, while national infection rates and hospital admissions hit their lowest in weeks.
President Joe Biden is expected to sign a new “Buy American” order, underlining the essential continuity of US trade policy despite the radical change of tone expected from Donald Trump’s administration. Biden’s policy initiatives will continue to compete for attention as the House of Representatives sends the articles of Donald Trump’s second impeachment to the Senate, most likely later Monday. Some have speculated that the fresh impeachment trial will make it harder for Biden to gain bipartisan approval for his $1.9 trillion stimulus package.
USA Key Point
- The NZD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest.
- EUR/USD pares earlier advance but keeps little changed.
- Germany January business climate index 90.1 vs 91.4 expected.
- BOJ's Kuroda supports that the state of emergency measures may dampen Japan's economic recovery.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.