Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Dollar hits new 31-month low
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
EUR/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.
XAU/USD: There is an indecision battle between bulls and bears and stands above key 50% retracement area.
US Market View
U.S. stocks are seen opening mixed Thursday, pausing around record highs as investors await more fresh news on Covid-19 vaccines and potential fiscal stimulus. Positive news over the development of Covid-19 vaccines, with the U.K. becoming the first country to approve the Pfizer-BioNTech injection for emergency use on Wednesday, have helped global stock markets post strong gains.
However, the roll out of this vaccine, and others are likely to be approved shortly, will likely take several months. The U.S. is still set for a difficult winter, with more than 100,000 people currently in hospitals across the country sick with Covid-19, for the first time ever. The dollar continued its descent, hitting a fresh 31-month low as the prospect of a recovery next year enticed ever more money out of safe havens and into foreign currencies. The euro rapidly gained another cent after breaking through $1.20 for the first time since April 2018, while the Australian dollar, Korean won won both hit new 30-month highs.
USA Key Point
- US weekly initial jobless claims 712K vs 775K expected
- The GBP is the strongest and the USD is the weakest
- Cable nears the week's highs as buyers hold on to Brexit deal hopes
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?