Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
CAD/JPY: there may be a pattern
Information is not investment advice
CAD/JPY has risen to 82.50 but met the resistance of the 50-day MA. The price action seen on the daily and weekly chart since the middle of July is so far corresponding to a bearish harmonic “Butterfly” pattern. The completion of the pattern implies the advance at least to the 84.00 area before the reversal to the downside. The recent advance above the September high, the 200-day MA in the 82.05 area as well as this year’s resistance line is in line with this scenario.
In the near term, consolidation may take place. The pattern will be valid as long as CAD/JPY is trading above 81.30 (100-day MA). The bullish scenario will get the ultimate confirmation on the break above 82.50. The first bullish target will be at 83.25 (July highs), while the next target will lie at 84.00.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
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