
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
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USD/CAD has been falling for a few reasons. First of all, the CAD is sensitive to market sentiment. Investors were encouraged by hopes of having the vaccine soon in the USA and some European countries, and that underpinned the risky CAD and therefore drove USD/CAD down. Second, the Canadian dollar is one of the largest oil producers that’s why its price movement is closely linked to the dynamic of oil prices. WTI oil surged to August highs pushing the CAD upwards too.
TD Securities claimed that “the loonie trades with too much optimism relative to fundamentals and techncials" and assured that the current risk-on sentiment will soon fade and push the Canadian dollar down. According to TD Securities, USD/CAD will rally up to 1.3300 if it reaches 1.3100.
However, the long-term forecast is more supportive for the Canadian dollar. Goldman Sachs claimed that the reopening of the global economy in 2021 will drive riskier currencies up such as the CAD and the AUD.
If USD/CAD jumps above the 50-period moving average, the way to the resistance of 1.3120 and then to the next one of 1.3165 will be clear. Elsewhere, the long lower tail of the second-to-last red candle and the following long green one have created the bullish momentum for the pair in the near term. In the opposite scenario, the move below the intraday low of 1.3030 will push the pair lower to the key psychological mark of 1.3000.
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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