
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
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The British authorities confirmed that December 2020 is the final deadline and cannot be extended.
The UK PM spoke with the EU Commission President to mark the next steps of negotiations.
The EU and the UK chief Brexit negotiators meet in Brussels to (hopefully) agree on main lines including fisheries and level playing field.
Several rounds of discussions
The last round of talks in Brussels.
Individual EU member states are ratifying the agreement (which by now is supposedly finished).
End of the transition period.
Until recently, the talks were pretty much in a stalemate. There was virtually no progress, and both the UK and the EU had openly admitted that. Yesterday, however, Boris Johnson had a call with Ursula von der Leyen which is reported to give a fresh push to negotiation. No concrete points were achieved, though, so this call may be perceived as a “call of intention”.
The British PM Boris Johnson:
“I don’t think we are actually that far apart… we see no reason why you shouldn’t get that done in July”.
Spokesman of Michel Barnier, Chief EU negotiator:
“We won’t just speed up. We have to remain focused on content and consequences”.
Both sides are quite adamant they don’t want to give in inch in crucial sectors such as fisheries, the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice, and the level playing field. That’s why, fundamentally, there is a stalemate. However, Boris Johnson’s camp is pressed by the deadlines to complete what was promised to his voters, while the EU doesn’t really care about time as it openly admits. Therefore, internal social and political pressure is harder on the British side that it is on the European. That’s why, while both parties have an equal commitment to observer their respective interests, the UK is in a weaker negotiation position.
Until Brexit is done, it will stay a “subversive” element in the GBP’s value against the EUR. Even if we remove the virus surge in March, the larger trend looks upwards since January 2020. It will likely stay so during the year while there no indication that both sides have come to a true agreement on their central demands. It is safe to expect EUR/GBP trade along and above the current resistance of 0.9050 until there is light in the tunnel for Brexit negotiations. As a thumb rule, whatever happens, including if nothing happens, the GBP will suffer more from an unsuccessful Brexit that the EUR.
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.
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