Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Brent: Future is Still Sunny
Information is not investment advice
Brent returned to the rising channel on Wednesday by gaining 4% during the trading session. Investors are still looking towards risk assets despite data showing an unexpected rise in US oil inventories.
The fall was caused by the deal between members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC. The organization decided to raise supply by 400,000 barrels a day from August to December 2021. Investors were also scared about the new COVID Delta strain.
Oil price keeps growing, despite the fact that the US crude stockpiles went up for the first time since May. Investors are positive about the future as they are sure that the demand will exceed supply during 2021.
At the moment, the price is trying to break $73.3 resistance. It is an intersection of 100 and 200 period moving averages, also it is 23.6 Fibonacci level. On the RSI oscillator, the downtrend has been broken, which means bulls still have enough power to push Brent higher.
In the short term: If the price breaks $73.3 resistance, it will shortly reach the 74-74.5$ range. Otherwise, it might test the 50-period moving average at the level of 72.3 before the upcoming raise.
In the long-term: As the price breaks the $73.3 resistance level, it will head towards the top line of the rising channel with a target range between $77.3-$77.7.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.